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Lakers vs. Warriors prediction, odds, time: 2023 NBA playoff picks, Game 4 best bets by model on 71-38 roll

The Golden State Warriors will look to even their best-of-seven series with the Los Angeles Lakers when they meet in Game 4 of their Western Conference semifinal on Monday. The teams have traded back-to-back blowout losses with the Lakers earning a 127-97 triumph in Game 3, after losing Game 2 127-100. The Warriors (44-38), the sixth seed in the West, were 30-22 against conference foes during the regular season. The Lakers (43-39), the seventh seed, won three of the four regular-season meetings with Golden State, including both at Crypto.com Arena.

The game will tip off at 10 p.m. ET from Los Angeles. The Warriors are averaging 114.7 points per game in the 2023 NBA playoffs, while the Lakers average 113. Los Angeles is a 2.5-point favorite in the latest Warriors vs. Lakers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 228. Before making any Lakers vs. Warriors picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model entered the conference semifinals of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-38 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Warriors and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Warriors vs. Lakers:

  • Warriors vs. Lakers spread: Lakers -2.5
  • Warriors vs. Lakers over/under: 228 points
  • Warriors vs. Lakers money line: Warriors +115, Lakers -135
  • GS: The Warriors are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games following an ATS loss
  • LAL: The Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games
  • Warriors vs. Lakers picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors

Why the Lakers can cover

Small forward LeBron James continues to play at a high level. He is averaging 22.1 points, 10.3 rebounds, 5.1 assists and 1.3 blocks per game in nine postseason games. He nearly had a triple double in Game 3, scoring 21 points, while grabbing eight rebounds and dishing out eight assists. He had a double-double in the series opener with 22 points and 11 rebounds. In 55 regular-season games, including 54 starts, James averaged 28.9 points, 8.3 rebounds and 6.8 assists.

Power forward Anthony Davis has been dominant this postseason, registering seven double-doubles in nine playoff games. He is coming off a 25-point and 13-rebound game in Game 3. He also had four blocks, three assists and three steals. He had a monster effort in the series opener with 30 points, 23 rebounds, five assists and four blocks. He is averaging 21.2 points, 13.9 rebounds, 4.1 blocks, 2.7 assists and 1.3 steals during the postseason. See which team to back here.

Why the Warriors can cover

Small forward Andrew Wiggins just missed a double-double in Game 3, scoring 16 points, while adding nine rebounds, four assists and one block. In 10 postseason games, including nine starts, Wiggins is averaging 16.9 points, six rebounds, 1.7 assists and 1.5 blocks. He has had lots of success against the Lakers throughout his career as in 29 games against Los Angeles, he is averaging 20.2 points, 4.4 rebounds, 2.3 assists and 1.1 steals.

Shooting guard Jordan Poole has played well against the Lakers this season. In four regular-season games vs. Los Angeles, he averaged 16.8 points, 5.3 assists, 2.8 rebounds and 1.3 steals. He scored 21 points and added six assists in the Game 1 loss. Poole has scored in double figures in five games this postseason, including 20 or more in two games. For his career, Poole averages 15.8 points, 3.4 assists and 2.6 rebounds. See which team to back here.

How to make Lakers vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting seven players to score more than 16 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine

So who wins Game 4 of Lakers vs. Warriors in the NBA playoffs 2023? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has has gone 71-38 on its NBA picks, and find out. 

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